The goal of the SIO is to improve sea ice prediction on seasonal time-scales. For the August report, 39 contributions were received that include pan-Arctic predictions. Of those contributions, 10 also included pan-Antarctic predictions and 11 included predictions for Alaskan waters.
For the Arctic, the median August Outlook value for a September 2018 sea ice extent projection is 4.6 million square kilometers.
The August report includes an overview of projections of total September Arctic ice extent; a section about predicted spatial fields with discussion on sea ice probability (SIP) and the first ice-free day (IFD) from a number of dynamical models; a section on current conditions and atmospheric conditions; a section discussing regional sea ice conditions; and a section discussing Antarctic sea ice extent forecasts. This report is the product of the Sea Ice Prediction Network–Phase 2 (SIPN2) effort.
For question, please contact Betsy Turner-Bogren, ARCUS ([hidden email]).
Arctic Research Consortium of the U.S. (ARCUS)
3535 College Road Suite 101
Fairbanks, AK 99709-3710
Office phone: 907/474-1600
Direct phone: 907/450-1605