May 17-18, Workshop on sea level rise: science, predictions, and stakeholder impacts @ Scripps

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May 17-18, Workshop on sea level rise: science, predictions, and stakeholder impacts @ Scripps

Slawek Tulaczyk
  CRYOLIST Mailing
Dear Colleagues,

I would like to draw your attention to an upcoming Workshop on Sea
Level Rise: Science, Predictions, and Stakeholder Impacts.  The
workshop will take place at Scripps on May 17-18, 2010 with Prof.
Helen Fricker as the local organizer.   The focus of this workshop is
on bringing together scientists, stakeholders and decision makers to
develop strategies for closer coupling of sea-level research with
practical applications of its results.

Below is a copy of the 2nd Workshop Announcement.  The current
registered attendees include representatives from NSF, Navy,
California and city governments, as well as private industry.

On behalf of the organizing committee.

Slawek Tulaczyk

Professor Slawek Tulaczyk, Ph.D.
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences
University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA
phone: 831-459-5207, fax: 831-459-3074, [hidden email]

============= 2nd WORKSHOP ANNOUNCEMENT =============

Workshop on sea level rise: science, predictions, and stakeholder impacts
2nd announcement

When:  May 17-18, 2010
Where:  Scripps Forum, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA

Organizing committee:
Gary Geernaert, LANL, Los Alamos
Bill Lipscomb, LANL, Los Alamos
Helen Fricker, SIO, UCSD, La Jolla
Slawek Tulaczyk, UCSC, Santa Cruz
David Behar, Public Utilities Commission, San Francisco

Local host:  Helen Fricker, SIO

Hotel for participants:  A block of 30 rooms has been set aside at
Hotel La Jolla, at the rate $147/night.  Participants must mention
“Sea Level Rise Workshop” when making reservations:  1-858-459-0261.
To obtain this rate, reservations must be made by April 23, 2010.
This hotel is about 15 minute walk to the conference facility, and the
hotel provides free shuttle service.

Workshop background and challenge:  Coastal water, wastewater, and
stormwater utilities, coastal infrastructures, federal facilities, and
coastal land use activities will be vulnerable to a steady level rise
during this century.  Abrupt sea level rise during this same period
also poses an unknown risk in timing and impacts.  For both steady and
abrupt change, the scientific predictions and their uncertainties have
profound importance on the design and location of next generation
infrastructures, the design of insurance and bond finance instruments,
and the long term planning for changes in coastal demographics.  There
are both regional and global externalities with poorly defined risk,
e.g., disease propagation, methane release in arctic deltas, and
conflict associated with abrupt and unwelcome migration.  These
externalities have indirect side effects on the economies of
California and other west coast states.

Workshop goal:  summarize the state of the art and challenges in sea
level rise research; determine how sea level rise research should be
used and not be used; and develop processes that foster linkages and
feedback loops between scientists, stakeholders and decision makers .
The target domain will be the US West Coast states, including Alaska
and Hawaii.

Structure and tentative agenda

May 17:  
12:00-1:00 PM Check-in

1:00 PM Panel of stakeholders:  SLR impacts, how SLR science is being used by
                        stakeholders today, challenges associated with using
today’s science for today’s decisionmaking…
Tentative panelists:
- David Behar, San Francisco Public Utilities Commission and Water
Utility Climate Alliance:  water/wastewater/stormwater utilities
- Steve Bushnell, Fireman’s Fund:  insurance industries
- Peter Perrone, Goldman Sachs:  finance and risk
- Tim Glaudette, CAPT, Office of Oceanographer Navy:  national security
- Beth Jines, City of Los Angeles or Tony Gioello, Port of Los Angeles
- Dilip Trivedi, Moffet and Nichol (coastal development)
- King Co or Seattle Public Utilities representative

3:00 --break--

3:15 PM Panel: Response by SLR modelers to stakeholder panel:
Lipscomb (LANL); Tulaczyk (UCSC); Cayan (UCSD); Holland (NYU); Ghattas
(U Texas); Nerem (Colorado); etc.
- Statistics and dynamics behind SLR predictions
- Trends in glacier melt
- Sensitivity to emission scenarios
- Progress anticipated during the next 2, 5, and 10 years
- Uncertainty spread:  now and anticipated reduction in the future

5:30 PM End of first day

May 18
8:30 Panel:  Response by SLR impacts research – new findings:  Toole
(LANL); Revelle (PWA); Lathrop (LLNL); Guza (UCSD); Flick (UCSD);
Sanders (UCI); etc.
- Flood and erosion hazards – beaches, cliffs, bays, estuaries, …
- Economics of electric grid vulnerabilities
- Military base operations
- Etc.

10:00 Agency and major initiatives (e.g., CCSM) presentations
                        NSF, ONR, NASA, NOAA, DOE

11:30 Lunch

1:00 Two parallel breakout groups:  Strategies for research  and
applications based on feedback loops between scientists and users

        3:00 Working groups reconvene:  workshop reports

        4:00 General discussion:  strategies and priorities for follow-up

        5:00 End of workshop
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