Sea Ice Outlook - Overview of Plan for the 2017 Season

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Sea Ice Outlook - Overview of Plan for the 2017 Season

Betsy Turner-Bogren
This is a summary of plans for the 2017 Sea Ice Outlook (SIO); the
call for submissions for the June report will be circulated at the end
of this week.

2017 SIO will include calls for contributions to the regular June, July,
and August monthly reports that synthesize predictions for the September
monthly average extent of Arctic sea ice as well as Alaskan regional sea
ice extent. Informal contributions of fall freeze-up data, sea ice
observations, and other parameters not included in the regular monthly
reports will also be accepted. Starting in 2017 the SIO will also accept
pan-Antarctic sea ice extent of the September monthly mean. A
Post-Season report will be generated at the end of the melt season.

A new on-line template has been designed for submitting contributions to
the 2017 SIO, in order to make the submission process as efficient as
possible. Required core information will be collected on a Google-based
form. Submissions of more detailed Outlooks reports, including
discussions of uncertainties, probabilities, relevant figures,
references, and Regional Outlook submissions of gridded data or full
spatial fields will be accepted via Dropbox. Links to both the Google
form and the Dropbox folder will be sent with the June Call for
Contributions at the end of this week. To pre-view the submission form,
go to:

Note: From contributors who are unable to use the Google forms or
Dropbox links, submissions will be accepted via email.

Please see the tentative schedule of the SIO 2017 monthly reports below.

The 2017 SIO represents a transition year, as current grant funding for
SIPN is coming to a close and we will focus only on core Sea Ice Outlook
this summer/fall; we are pursuing proposals to further develop and
expand SIPN.

For more information about the SIO, please see: Or, contact
Betsy Turner-Bogren at ARCUS ([hidden email]).

This year’s SIO season also marks the start of the Sea Ice Drift
Forecast Experiment (SIDFEx, 2017-2020), which is a community effort to
collect and analyze Arctic sea ice drift forecasts at lead times from
days to a year based on arbitrary methods for a number of sea-ice buoys
and, ultimately, the research icebreaker Polarstern.
SIDFEx is aligned with the SIO such that modelling groups contributing
to the Sea Ice Outlook can contribute to SIDFEx relatively easily by
computing trajectories for Lagrangian tracers. For details, please go


JUNE REPORT: (Based on May data)
- 26 May 2017 (Friday): Call for Contributions for June Report
- 12 June 2017 (Monday): Contributions Due for June Report
- 23 June 2017 (Friday): June Report Released

JULY REPORT: (Based on May and June data)
- 30 June 2017 (Friday): Call for Contributions for July Report
- 12 July 2017 (Wednesday): Contributions Due for July Report
- 24 July 2017 (Monday): July Report Released

AUGUST REPORT: (Based on May, June, and July data)
- 28 July 2017 (Friday): Call for Contributions for August Report
- 11 August 2017 (Friday): Contributions Due for August Report
- 21 August 2017 (Monday): August Report Released

- Developed during September-November 2017
Note: A call for nominations for a post-season SIO Action Team will be
circulated in early September via the SIPN mailing list:

Betsy Turner-Bogren
Project Manager
Arctic Research Consortium of the U.S. (ARCUS)
3535 College Road Suite 101
Fairbanks, AK 99709-3710
Phone: 907/474-1600
[hidden email]

Follow ARCUS on twitter: @ArcticResearch

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