Upcoming ACCAP Webinars (July 19, 25, and 28th)

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Upcoming ACCAP Webinars (July 19, 25, and 28th)

Tina Buxbaum
Hello All,

ACCAP had a packed July webinar schedule.  Below is info about the upcoming webinars and flyers for two of them.  Please distribute as you see fit.



Virtual Alaska Weather Symposium Webinar
Seasonal Forecasting Using an Analog Technique
Brian Brettschnieder, University of Alaska Fairbanks
Wednesday, 19 July 2017 
11:00am-12:00pm AKDT

To register for the webinar, please fill out the form available at:

Many places have a local saying that reads, “if you don’t like the weather, wait 15 minutes.” This idiom is not as applicable to Alaska, where strong seasonality is an ever present fact of life. In December, January, and February, all of Mainland Alaska has snow on the ground and experiences sub-freezing temperatures. In June, July, and August, long days mean warm temperatures, clouds, rain, and mosquitoes. Within those seasons, large variation exists from one year to the next. Winter 2016-17 is much colder and snowier than either of the previous two winters. Those differences are meaningful in the cold season for activities that involve travel on frozen rivers and shorefast ice, following game tracks in snow, meat and fish storage, and more. In summer, year-to-year differences in climate affect fish runs, berry production, river runoff, and fire activity. An IARC project with John Walsh and Rick Thoman, Brettschnieder uses an analog technique to forecast seasonal conditions based on previous months’ conditions. If conditions over a 1, 2, 3, or more month time period are similar to some other year, then highlighting that match year is useful for determining what the current year’s conditions will resemble 1, 2, 3, or more months in the future. For example, a forecast for June temperatures based on the three years with the best global 500 mb geopotential height match to October-December 2016 in the northern hemisphere indicate near normal temperatures for most of the state with slightly below normal temperatures for the eastern interior. This type of pattern-match analog forecasting provides long lead-time indications for seasonal conditions.

Check out the tool HERE!

Available in-person in IARC/Akasofu 407 on the UAF Campus or online 

Registration and more information available at: https://accap.uaf.edu/VAWS_Analog

ACCAP Alaska Climate Webinar
SEARCH for Arctic Answers
Brendan Kelly, Executive Director of SEARCH
Tuesday, 25 July 2017 
10:00-11:00am AKDT

To register for the webinar, please fill out the form available at:

Communities and governments need reliable information to adapt to rapid changes in the Arctic environment. Scientists need to continually advance the body of knowledge and—at the same time—answer immediately practical questions. The Study of Environmental Arctic Change (SEARCH) brings together researchers from diverse disciplines and institutions to accelerate cross-discipline syntheses and to make scientific understanding more readily accessible to policy makers and other stakeholders. Knowledge pyramids utilized in the creation of Arctic Answers foster syntheses and broad understanding across sectors and stakeholder groups, including at the policy level. Brendan Kelly, Executive Director of SEARCH, will discuss SEARCH and the Arctic Answers initiative.

Available in-person in IARC/Akasofu 407 on the UAF Campus or online 

Registration and more information available at: https://accap.uaf.edu/SEARCH_Arctic_Answers

July 2017 National Weather Service Alaska Climate Outlook Briefing
Rick Thoman, Climate Science and Services Manager, National Weather Service
Friday, 28 July 2017 
12-1:00pm  AKDT

For more information, please go to: https://accap.uaf.edu/webinars/nws-briefings

Do you lie awake at nights wondering what the upcoming season will be like? Want to place bets with friends and family on next month's weather? If so, good news:

The tools and techniques for making monthly and season scale climate forecasts are rapidly changing, with the potential to provide useful forecasts at the month and longer range. Rick Thoman (Climate Science and Services Manager, Environmental and Scientific Services Division, National Weather Service Alaska Region) will review recent climate conditions around Alaska, review forecast tools and finish up with the Climate Prediction Center's forecast for the upcoming season. 

Rick will also present a "Feature-of-the-Month" special addition in which each month he will highlight a topic relevant to the particular month.  

Available in-person in IARC/Akasofu 407 on the UAF Campus or online (http://accap.adobeconnect.com/july2017/event/registration.html)

Feel free to bring your lunch and join the gathering in-person or join online to learn more about Alaska climate and weather.

This will be a monthly series generally taking place the third Friday of each month. 

Tina Buxbaum
Program Manager
Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy (ACCAP)
University of Alaska Fairbanks
930 Koyukuk Drive * P.O. Box 757245 * Fairbanks, AK 99775
Phone: 907-474-7812 * Fax: 907-474-5662
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NWS_July_Briefing_07_28_17.pdf (5M) Download Attachment
ACCAP_local_Webinar_7_25_17.pdf (303K) Download Attachment